There is nothing more important to our firm than the accuracy of our results. A cybersecurity company says it found a hacker selling the personal info, including phone numbers and voter registration data, of more than 200 million … That points to a national increase of 15%, which Harris attributes to faith inspired by new President Cyril Ramaphosa, saying: “The Ramaphosa factor is big because suddenly there is a leader that people trust and can look up to. In the Western Cape, for instance, the survey reveals a huge drop in numbers for the Democratic Alliance (DA). Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. The Elections Research Center conducted surveys in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin on February 11-20 that asked voting-age citizens which presidential candidate they plan to vote for in the primary and general elections. A major new survey of public attitudes on voting and elections in the U.S. was conducted by Pew Research Center from Sept. 24-Oct. 7 among 10,683 adults, supported by a grant from the Democracy Fund. Voter survey… The recent voter survey undertaken by global market research and a consulting firm, Ipsos, shows the DA losing it’s Western Cape grip, while the ANC gain on the old guard. The survey reveals that Senator Bernie Sanders is the leading candidate in the primary contest with a sizable lead in Michigan and Wisconsin but a narrower lead in Pennsylvania. We are living in unprecedented times. Address: Regus Business Centre IOL received comment from Mari Harris, Ipsos director of public affairs, who provided insight into the poll, its findings and conclusions. The margin of error in each state sample ranges between plus or minus 3 to 4 percentage points. Postal: Blue Sky Publications (Pty) Ltd T/A TheSouthAfrican, PO Box 44354, Claremont, 7735, South Africa, United Kingdom– Blue Sky Publications Ltd – Company Registration Number: 04683692. Ipsos randomly selected 3 738 adult South Africans to be interviewed in their homes and chosen languages. All leading Democratic candidates have a slight lead over President Trump, but this difference is within our survey’s margin of error, suggesting a very close race come November. While none of this has been easy Joe Biden remains the top choice for black voters whereas Sanders leads among Whites and Hispanics. ( Log Out /  SP&R’s principals are experienced in developing both public opinion strategies and survey research programs. After the 2012 election, we were determined at Magellan Strategies to figure out if online sample could be an acceptable proxy for telephone sample among hard to interview voter populations such as younger and minority voters. Why not try sites on the blogroll... We are humbled not only by your faith in our work product but also by your long memory of 2016 since it seems...wel…, This deep dive on early voting in key battleground states validates SPR recent polling in. 1st Floor, Block B, North Park, Black River Park, 2 Fir Street, Observatory, Cape Town, 7925, South Africa Liked it here? While the Ipsos ‘Pulse of the People’ study has a limited scope with regards to its method and sample range, it sure does provide some interesting insight into voter confidence. Other results reveal that Democratic primary voters do not differ much in their choices by gender but do by race and age. Copyright © Blue Sky Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved. The samples of 1,300 in Michigan, 1,300 in Pennsylvania, and 1,000 in Wisconsin were selected and weighted to reflect the adult population in each state based on gender, age, and education. Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) is an experienced political polling and public opinion research firm based in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. SP&R also does business under the name Voter Survey Service. This personal commitment and extensive experience gives us a depth of understanding that goes beyond the numbers and provides for both highly accurate and informative results. The survey was conducted by YouGov, and the poll in Wisconsin was conducted in partnership with the Wisconsin State Journal. Feedback, questions or accessibility issues: lbankston@wisc.edu. Our in-house services also include Internet/Web-based surveys, online panels, focus groups and automated “IVR” telephone surveys. Harris commented on the ANC’s position in the study compared to last year’s survey, noting that results from 2017 put the leading party at 45%. This site was built using the UW Theme | Privacy Notice | © 2020 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System. Top market research companies conducting public opinion research. Our offices are for administrative purposes only, no visitors will be accepted without an appointment. Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) is an experienced political polling and public opinion research firm based in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. The ANC still firmly leads the charge on a national level, with 60% of those interviewed indicating they’d vote for the current leading national party. Younger voters are more likely to support  Sanders, while older voters divide their support between Biden and Michael Bloomberg. TheSouthAfrican.com is all about South Africa and the stories that affect South Africans, wherever they are in the world. ( Log Out /  In contrast, the capabilities of using online sample for a political poll or voter opinion survey are limited. ( Log Out /  Change ), You are commenting using your Twitter account. It’s not just the national tally which will have the DA sweating – in the Western Cape, the survey reveals a narrow margin of 2% between the DA and ANC. Change ). Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Help support journalists, the guardians of independent journalism, through our, South Africa: Today’s latest news and headlines, Tuesday 3 November, Weather forecast, alerts and UVB index for all South African provinces, 3 November 2020, Gugulethu shooting: Gunmen kill 7 in Monday attack, Africa’s only World Tour cycling team NTT losing race to stay afloat. firms to conduct a statistically valid voter opinion survey. While the survey reveals a slight dip in voter confidence for the ANC, it pales in insignificance compared to the hard losses absorbed by the DA. Among other items, the survey asked respondents planning to participate in the primary who they will support and also featured head-to-head matchups between… Address: Riverbank House, 1 Putney Bridge Approach, London, SW6 4TJ. ( Log Out /  There has been a lot of negative press around them in recent times. Find a company to collect information on views, beliefs and judgments about public issues. If you look at our results after Cyril’s 100 days, there is a lot of trust expressed in the new president, and people are willing to give him a chance.”. In the general election, all leading Democratic candidates either slightly lead or are tied with Trump in head-to-head matchups. Among other items, the survey asked respondents planning to participate in the primary who they will support and also featured head-to-head matchups between top candidates in the Democratic field and President Donald Trump for the general election. This knowledgeable staff personally supervises every telephone session and monitors interviewers’ interaction online with respondents. Read: ANC versus DA – Gauteng battle plans for 2019 general elections. thesouthafrican.com is a division of Blue Sky Publications Ltd. Reproduction without permission prohibited. The Democratic Alliance have already questioned the authenticity and accuracy of recent voter surveys, maintaining that the only poll the political party cares about is the general election poll in 2019. The results of the head-to-head matchups between Democratic candidates and Trump are straight forward: None of these states will be easily won by either party. It makes people quite a bit uncertain, so there are various factors that we see in the ANC getting stronger.”. Other results are available in our press release. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. Plus, our principals possess a strong background in both government affairs and political campaigns and are well respected among elected officials in both the legislative and executive branches of government, unlike many academic research groups who have limited experience in politics, campaigns and government affairs activities. Whether this drop in DA voter confidence can be attributed to the on-going battle with Cape Town Mayor, Patricia de Lille, or whether the drought and subsequent resource management are to blame, is still uncertain.